2015 NCAA Soccer Bracket Challenge

Picking up where we left off last year, everybody is continuing to soccer with the 2015 NCAA Soccer Bracket Challenge! Last year we had a heated race that not only saw Liviu Bird top the group, but included a former USMNT player who unfortunately did not do so well with his picks. If you aren't really familiar with college soccer, go to the bottom for the resources so you can have the chance to say you know more about soccer than someone who played for the US.

Standings

I've included some fun stats this year. We have a win%, which is based on how many points a bracket has to cover in how many games remaining. There's also the expected points that uses RPI rating as its basis. On the stats tab, you can see each bracket's pick as well as how often a school was picked to advance. The last two tabs are the math behind it all so don't worry about those. If you're on your phone, click here to view the standings.

The account names without an "@" in front of it are taken from bigsoccer forums. Those marked as "N/A" were brackets that were emailed in.

About the NCAA Tournament

Every year NCAA soccer concludes their season with a 48 team tournament. 24 conference representatives are selected by either winning their respective conference or tournament. The remaining 24 spots are filled by teams earning at-large bids. The first round features 32 teams and the second round introduces 16 seeded teams given a bye past the first round.

Click here to see the 2015 bracket

How to Play

There are a couple of different ways to play.

1. You can print off a bracket, fill it out, and send it to me at everybodysoccer@yahoo.com or tweet a picture to @letsallsoccer.

2. You can simply just type or write it all out and send me the list. As long as they are sorted by round, I can submit your bracket myself.

3. If you can get to a computer, a fancier and more interactive tool can be found on the google templates. Search for "NCAA Soccer" in the public gallery.

  1. Click the "NCAA Soccer Bracket Challenge Template By Bill Reno"
  2. At the top header, click the button "Use This Template"
  3. Only fill out column D, the blue row. The bracket will automatically update itself. If you spell a college incorrectly (use the gray columns for reference) then it will tell you to try again.
  4. Enter in your name, team name, state, and twitter handle to appear on the scoreboard.
  5. Send to it me by selecting File > Share > Email:everybodysoccer@yahoo.com. (Make sure you are clicking the in-template "File" and not the "File" at very top of your computer screen.)
  6. If something goes terribly wrong and you mess up the whole thing, just go back to the google templates home page to start over.

How to Win

The winner will be determined by who scores the most points. You can score a maximum of 176 points total (32 each round, except the first which is only 16). The rounds are weighted as such:

Round 1 - 1 point
Round 2 - 2 point
Round 3 - 4 points
Quarterfinals - 8 points
Semifinals - 16 points
Final - 32 points

Resources

RPIs and Schedules - Dan Gaucho has a great site for all your RPI and scheduling needs.

Media Coverage - Three sites that could give you more info on schools: Top Drawer Soccer, College Soccer News, and Hero Sports.

History - Take a look at each school's history with the tournament. Teams were given points for how many rounds they went and if they held a seed. The first few columns are weighted points for the round reached and seed given. "DIFF" is gauging if they over (+) or underperform (-) in the tournament given their seed.

Ethan Horvath Scouting Report

Cover photo from Molde FK

The songs are from post-hardcore quintet mewithoutYou ("All Circles") and the midwest emo band Good Luck ("Significant Day") because we need a little more variety in our highlight videos than inane techno music.

The video includes some really good saves, some goals he couldn't do anything on, and some goals he definitely wasn't at his best. Most highlight videos include save after save but you can really tell just how good a goalkeeper is by the type of goals they concede. Not to mention, if you search "Ethan Horvath" on YouTube, the top results are people either talking about Horvath, Horvath getting scored on, or some kid playing piano. So it's intentionally not a highlight video. It's a survey what type of goalkeeper the twenty year old is.

Strengths

Enough can't be said about his technique and mechanics. He clearly has been sculpted as a goalkeeper and the results are someone who can play in Europa League as essentially a young sophomore in college. His stance is typically very even and his jumpset is impeccable. It is because of his sound mechanics that he can overcome his average athleticism to make an extended save. He is set in time with the shot and can move his body in the most optimal way to cover ground. Additionally, he's never trying to force a play. Instead, he is trusts his skills to time the play and react as necessary. So he'll sit back on his line waiting to make a save, like Brad Guzan often does. Even in 1v1 situations, he'll still play very passive. He won't rush out there trying to solve it with brashness. He's calm, playing high percentage areas like a specifically placed wall, instead of a flaming car from 2 Fast 2 Furious. 

It should also be noted that he shows the correct mindset and poise to be playing at such a high level, as much as you can tell watching video. He never looks out of depth or beaten; he looks like he really loves the competition and embraces it. There have been a number of young goalkeepers that come up early only to look overwhelmed, especially after giving up a poor goal. Horvath, on the other hand, looks similar whether he made a great save or slipped up on the play. And looking at his path taken to where he is today, it makes sense.

Weaknesses

The biggest weaknesses are clearly his lack of athleticism and reactions. He's not a Bill Hamid or Jon Busch. His top saves will almost all be extension saves. That's not saying he won't have any reaction saves (there's one that opens the video) but it's just not going to happen as often. Similarly, his lateral movement and post-to-post time is relatively slow. I think this has more to do with his body frame and what his focus has been as a goalkeeper up to now. Clearly he has a goalkeeper coach, not a goalkeeper trainer. If he had a trainer, he would be a quicker and stronger athlete but would have spent less time focusing on being a good goalkeeper. I'd still like to see a little more spring in his lead diving foot. Right now, his lead foot is more of a prop to rotate power generated from his back leg as opposed to giving us a nice Oliver Kahn-explosive dive. Several of his dives he doesn't get the elevation or power needed to cover the frame as much as he should.

Outlook

If there was a US goalkeeper I would compare him to it would be Brad Friedel. I know, I know, I don't want to Earl Edwards him - and I'm not - but he has the frame and approach that Friedel had. Both tall and lanky, they loved to let the game come to them and then respond, as if to say "Let's see the best you can do but I'm not worried about it." Friedel was never the most agile of goalkeepers but as someone who was playing in the EPL at 42, he clearly had some thought behind his play. Horvath is in a great position to grow as a goalkeeper. Like I said earlier, he has the mechanics that he can build off of and like David de Gea did, he can up his athleticism still. I'm not penning him down as a definite World Cup starter, but when he's compared to his peers he's noticeably ahead of them.

Top 100 American Goalkeepers - October 2015

Photo by Adam Hunger, USA TODAY Sports

It's been all-USMNT or USYNT these past couple months but we do have three newcomers for the Top 100!

Andre Rawls (81)
Alex Riggs (88)
Ethan Horvath (91)

Technically both Riggs and Horvath are returnees but they haven't been in the top 100 since 2013, when the list wasn't truly filled out. (See the complete history here.) Truth be told I thought Riggs had retired so it's good to see him back in the fold with St. Louis FC. Of course we are all familiar with Horvath's latest exploits with Molde. It was really only a matter of time to see him here. The last name, Rawls, was a pleasant surprise to see him excel with the Wilmington Hammerheads. I had written him off coming out of college as someone too old to develop anymore but he has continued to improve in goal. I don't know if I'd say he's a feasible option for New York City FC (they drafted Rawls in January) but he definitely is more now than he was a year ago.

For more goalkeeper rankings, check out the 24 Goalkeepers Under 24.

1. Brad Guzan (Aston Villa / England.1) - 77.8 (31.1)
2. Tim Howard (Everton FC / England.1) - 75.9 (36.6)
3. Stefan Frei (Seattle Sounders / USA.1) - 69.8 (29.5)
4. Luis Robles (New York Red Bulls / USA.1) - 69.2 (31.4)
5. Nick Rimando (Real Salt Lake / USA.1) - 68.9 (36.3)
6. Tyler Deric (Houston Dynamo / USA.1) - 68.8 (27.2)
7. Bill Hamid (DC United / USA.1) - 68.8 (24.9)
8. Andrew Dykstra (DC United / USA.1) - 68.6 (29.8)
9. Tim Melia (Sporting Kansas City / USA.1) - 68.5 (28.6)
10. William Yarbrough (Leon / Mexico.1) - 68.5 (26.6)

Taking a closer look at the top ten, some are calling for Howard to start back over Guzan. The 3-2 loss to Mexico shouldn't be placed on Guzan's shoulders and Howard hasn't exactly been playing that great for Everton. Guzan, on the other hand, has been more than reliable for Aston Villa. Deric lands a notch over Hamid. Even Hamid has his own supporters to start for Klinsmann but he continues to lack the consistency to deserve the world class adjectives. Yarbrough stays at 10 despite being recently benched, which is more indicative of the problems goalkeepers 11-20 are having than his own.

11. Steve Clark (Columbus Crew / USA.1) - 68.4 (29.5)
12. Jimmy Maurer (New York Cosmos / USA.2) - 68.3 (28)
13. Chris Seitz (FC Dallas / USA.1) - 68.1 (28.6)
14. Joe Willis (Houston Dynamo / USA.1) - 68 (27.2)
15. Evan Bush (Montreal Impact / USA.1) - 67.9 (29.6)
16. Brian Rowe (Los Angeles Galaxy / USA.1) - 67.9 (26.9)
17. Bobby Shuttleworth (New England Revolution / USA.1) - 67.9 (28.4)
18. Alex Horwath (SK Brann / Norway.2) - 67.8 (28.6)
19. Patrick McLain (Sacramento Republic / USA.3) - 67.8 (27.2)
20. Tally Hall (Orlando City SC / USA.1) - 67.7 (30.4)

21. David Bingham (San Jose Earthquakes / USA.1) - 67.6 (26)
22. Zac MacMath (Colorado Rapids / USA.1) - 67.5 (24.2)
23. Clint Irwin (Colorado Rapids / USA.1) - 67.5 (26.5)
24. Matt Pickens (Tampa Bay Rowdies / USA.2) - 67.5 (33.5)
25. Troy Perkins (Seattle Sounders / USA.1) - 67.5 (34.3)
26. Ryan Meara (New York City FC / USA.1) - 67.5 (24.9)
27. Andrew Weber (Portland Timbers / USA.1) - 67.4 (32.2)
28. Matt Pyzdrowski (Helsingborg IF / Sweden.1) - 67.4 (29.2)
29. Jeff Attinella (Real Salt Lake / USA.1) - 67.3 (27.1)
30. Dan Kennedy (FC Dallas / USA.1) - 67.3 (33.3)

31. Quentin Westberg (Sarpsborg 08 / Norway.1) - 67.2 (29.5)
32. Josh Saunders (New York City FC / USA.1) - 67.2 (34.6)
33. Scott Goodwin (Louisville City FC / USA.3) - 67.2 (24.9)
34. Sean Johnson (Chicago Fire / USA.1) - 67.2 (26.4)
35. Jon Busch (Chicago Fire / USA.1) - 67.1 (39.2)
36. Andrew Fontein (Minnesota United FC / USA.2) - 67.1 (25.6)
37. Austin Guerrero (Puebla FC / Mexico.1) - 67 (26.6)
38. Matt Lampson (Pittsburgh Riverhounds / USA.3) - 66.9 (26.1)
39. Joseph Bendik (Toronto FC / USA.1) - 66.9 (26.5)
40. Devala Gorrick (Colorado Springs Switchbacks / USA.3) - 66.8 (28.3)

41. Matt Van Oekel (FC Edmonton / USA.2) - 66.8 (29.1)
42. Evan Newton (Oklahoma City Energy FC / USA.3) - 66.7 (27.5)
43. Mitch Hildebrandt (Minnesota United FC / USA.2) - 66.6 (26.9)
44. Brad Stuver (Columbus Crew / USA.1) - 66.6 (24.5)
45. Bryan Meredith (San Jose Earthquakes / USA.1) - 66.6 (26.2)
46. David Yelldell (Bayer Leverkusen / Germany.1) - 66.6 (34.8)
47. Akira Fitzgerald (Carolina RailHawks / USA.2) - 66.5 (28.3)
48. David Meves (Fort Lauderdale Strikers / USA.2) - 66.5 (26.3)
49. Jon Kempin (Sporting Kansas City / USA.1) - 66.6 (22.5)
50. John Berner (Charlotte Independence / USA.3) - 66.4 (24.7)

51. Kyle Reynish (New York Red Bulls / USA.1) - 66.4 (31.9)
52. Brian Sylvestre (Philadelphia Union / USA.1) - 66.4 (22.8)
53. Chris Konopka (Toronto FC / USA.1) - 66.3 (30.5)
54. Jon Dawson (Indy Eleven / USA.2) - 66.2 (24.6)
55. Brad Knighton (New England Revolution / USA.1) - 66.2 (30.7)
56. Alec Kann (St. Louis FC / USA.3) - 66.2 (25.2)
57. Nathan Stockie (Jippo / Finland.3) - 66.2 (26.6)
58. Josh Wicks (AFC United / Sweden.2) - 66.1 (31.9)
59. John McCarthy (Philadelphia Union / USA.1) - 66.1 (23.3)
60. Will Dieterich (Haukar Hafnarfjördur / Iceland.2) - 66 (28.6)

61. Kyle Zobeck (New York Cosmos / USA.2) - 66 (25.7)
62. Darius Motazed (TuS Koblenz / Germany.4) - 66 (26.3)
63. Carl Woszczynski (Arizona United / USA.3) - 65.9 (27.5)
64. Eric Kronberg (Montreal Impact / USA.1) - 65.9 (32.3)
65. Scott Angevine (Kokkolan Palloveikot / Finland.3) - 65.9 (26.4)
66. Daryl Sattler (San Antonio Scorpions / USA.2) - 65.7 (35.1)
67. Diego Restrepo (Metropolitanos FC / Venezuela.1) - 65.6 (27.7)
68. Josh Ford (Fort Lauderdale Strikers / USA.2) - 65.5 (27.9)
69. Brandon Miller (Rochester Rhinos / USA.3) - 65.4 (25.8)
70. Adam Grinwis (Rochester Rhinos / USA.3) - 65.4 (23.5)

71. Caleb Patterson-Sewell (Gil Vicente FC / Portugal.1) - 65.4 (28.4)
72. Tom Al Madon (Hapoel Tel Aviv FC / Israel.1) - 65.2 (30.9)
73. Lionel Brown (Fort Lauderdale Strikers / USA.2) - 65.1 (28.1)
74. Patrick Lane (Karlstad BK / Sweden.4) - 65.1 (27.2)
75. Trevor Spangenberg (Richmond Kickers / USA.3) - 65.1 (24.5)
76. Kenneth Kronholm (Holstein Kiel / Germany.3) - 65 (30)
77. Daniel Withrow (Portland Timbers II / USA.3) - 65 (25.4)
78. Zac Lubin (Tulsa Roughnecks / USA.3) - 64.9 (26.2)
79. Rafael Diaz (New York Red Bulls II / USA.3) - 64.9 (24.2)
80. Sebastian Evers (Jacksonville Armada / USA.2) - 64.9 (24.8)

81. Andre Rawls (Wilmington Hammerheads / USA.3) - 64.8 (25.8)
82. Kris Devaux (Baerum SK / Norway.2) - 64.7 (24.4)
83. Nick Shackelford (Los Angeles Galaxy II / USA.3) - 64.7 (25)
84. Warren Gross (Western Mass Pro Soccer / USA.4) - 64.6 (26.8)
85. Ryan Taylor (Richmond Kickers / USA.3) - 64.6 (25.3)
86. Cody Mizell (Fram Reykjavik / Iceland.2) - 64.6 (24.1)
87. Justin Luthy (Portland Timbers II / USA.3) - 64.6 (24.5)
88. Alex Riggs (St. Louis FC / USA.3) - 64.6 (27.6)
89. Charlie Lyon (Seattle Sounders II / USA.3) - 64.6 (23.5)
90. Hunter Gilstrap (Carolina RailHawks / USA.2) - 64.5 (32.5)

91. Ethan Horvath (Molde FK / Norway.1) - 64.5 (20.3)
92. Dominik Jakubek (Sacramento Republic / USA.3) - 64.4 (36.1)
93. Matt Perrella (Carolina RailHawks / USA.2) - 64.4 (24.8)
94. Tony Halterman (Evergreen Dipolmats / USA.4) - 64.4 (24.8)
95. Brian Holt (New York Cosmos / USA.2) - 64.2 (26.9)
96. Kevin Corby (Charleston Battery / USA.3) - 64.2 (24.6)
97. Robby Gogatz (Southern California Seahorses / USA.4) - 64.2 (24.6)
98. Larry Jackson (Wilmington Hammerheads / USA.3) - 64.2 (25.1)
99. Trey Mitchell (MLS Pool / USA.1) - 64.1 (24.5)
100. Dom DiMaggio (Seacoast United Phantoms / USA.4) - 64 (23.7)

24 Goalkeepers Under 24: USMNT Prospects

cover photo belongs to Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

MLS released their popular 24 Under 24 list last month. Throughout all the buzz, it has received some backlash due to twenty-four not really being an age for field players to be considered "young". On the other hand, goalkeepers are commonly known for budding late and playing longer than the average field player. This could explain why, out of the 75 player shortlist, there was only one goalkeeper named (Brian Sylvestre). Kempin, MacMath, and McCarthy were all excluded from making the nominee list and even Sylvestre didn't make the cut for the final 24. I realize there are only so many goalkeepers that are even under 24 years old in the league, but it's still odd that out of six teams worth of players only one would actually be in goal. Nonetheless make no mistake there are 24 great goalkeepers under 24 years old, just most of them aren't playing in MLS.

This is essentially an updated version of the prospect list I published back in August but now we're including goalkeepers that are in the top 100, which I did not do last time. Of the 24, they're weighted by both current ability and potential. You'll notice that players like Zack Steffen are technically rated higher than his peers like Lyon and DiMaggio in this list, even though Steffen isn't in the top 100 while Lyon and DiMaggio are, which is based off of purely current ability. (Steffen still has some room to grow to be in the top 100 current goalkeepers, which I wrote briefly about here.)

USMNT Goalkeeper Prospects

1. Ethan Horvath (Molde FK / Norway.1) 20.3
2. Jon Kempin (Sporting Kansas City / USA.1) 22.5
3. Brian Sylvestre (Philadelphia Union / USA.1) 22.8
4. John McCarthy (Philadelphia Union / USA.1) 23.3
5. Alex Bono (Toronto FC II / USA.3) 21.5
6. Adam Grinwis (Rochester Rhinos / USA.3) 23.5

Horvath is on pace to be the next great USMNT goalkeeper. He's a great example of what sound mechanics will do for you. He's always set in time, with an even stance, and knows when to be patient and will to push. Kempin has come on slow in Kansas City but it'll be interesting to see what happens next season as the time has come for him to start. Sylvestre and McCarthy had their up and downs in Philly but given their respective ages they still have the opportunity to be either utilized or completely ruined by the Union, as the latter seems to be more common for Philadelphia's young goalkeepers. Bono really struggled for USL Toronto. It looked like he was overwhelmed at times, similar to MacMath's time in Philadelphia. If he can get back to what we know he can do, he'll grow. Grinwis was the backup in Rochester but has shown the ability to keep moving up.

7. Zack Steffen (SC Freiburg / Germany.1) 20.5
8. Charlie Lyon (Seattle Sounders II / USA.3) 23.5
9. Cody Cropper (MK Dons / England.2) 22.7
10. Zach Bennett (Michigan State / USA.N) 21.8
11. Paul Blanchette (Loyola Marymount / USA.N) 21.5
12. Devin Perales (Free Agent / None) 22.5

It's rare to see a goalkeeper start for the U20s and U23s in one cycle - I don't know if it's ever been done - but Steffen can get frozen at times when he has an opportunity to play up to expectations, which lands him at number seven here. Lyon had a tremendous season with USL Sounders, even making the bench for the MLS parent. Cropper is recovering from knee surgery but already earned starts with MK Dons. Bennett is expected to be drafted in January's SuperDraft while Blanchette could easily go unnoticed, which might actually work out better for him as he'll get to choose what USL or NASL club he'd like to work with. Perales had positive and negative moments with Austin Aztex but as they're not set to return for next season, Perales is free to roam.

13. Dom DiMaggio (Seacoast United Phantoms / USA.4) 23.7
14. Jeff Caldwell (Virginia / USA.N) 19.7
15. Eric Klenofsky (Monmouth / USA.N) 21.1
16. Austin Rogers (Kitsap / USA.4) 20.2
17. Jake Feener (Tulsa Roughnecks / USA.3) 23.5
18. Tyler Miller (Seattle Sounders II / USA.3) 22.6

DiMaggio excelled in the PDL last season and hopefully he can land somewhere else besides Director of Goalkeeping. Caldwell (sophomore) and Klenofsky (junior) are quietly becoming MLS prospects while peer Austin Rogers is plying his trade in Albania. Feener worked his way into the starting role in Tulsa. Miller has returned from Germany but only made one appearance with USL Sounders.

19. JT Marcinkowski (Georgetown / USA.N) 18.4
20. Spencer Richey (Vancouver Whitecaps II / USA.3) 23.4
21. Matt Bersano (Penn State / USA.N) 23.1
22. Justin Vom Steeg (UC Santa Barbara / USA.N) 18.5
23. Keith Cardona (Indy Eleven / USA.2) 22.9
24. Alexandros Tabakis (Panathinaikos / Greece.1) 22.8

Freshman Marcinkowski and Vom Steeg have played a large role in their school's RPI ratings, (11th and 16th). Richey, like Bono, had a streaky season in Vancouver. It didn't help that USL Whitecaps were near awful so hopefully Richey can reset in the offseason and come back with a clean slate. Bersano is doing well with his new school but they need a boost to get into the national tournament as they're below the line at the moment. Cardona worked his way into the starting role for Indy. Tabakis returns to Panathinaikos after his loan with VVV-Venlo ended.

Best of the Rest

I know, I know, you want to read comments about goalkeepers all day but we just don't have the time. Here are another 26 promising goalkeepers to round us out at a nice 50. Fifty Under Twenty-Four doesn't have quite the same ring to it so don't mind the math.

25. Alec Ferrell (Wake Forest / USA.N) 21.6
26. Andrew Wolverton (Los Angeles Galaxy / USA.1) 22.3
27. Jeff Gal (Lidköpings FK / Sweden.4) 22.5
28. Travis Worra (Richmond Kickers / USA.3) 22.5
29. Ashkan Khosravi (UC Riverside / USA.N) 21.8
30. Keegan Rogers (IFK Lammhult / Sweden.4) 22.4
31. Matt Cardone (San Antonio Scorpions / USA.2) 22.3
32. Arie Ammann (Penn State / USA.N) 19
33. Wade Hamilton (Cal Poly / USA.N) 21.1
34. Ben Lockler (Free Agent / None) 22.6
35. Luis Barraza (Marquette / USA.N) 18.9
36. Danny Rogers (Falkirk FC / Scotland.2) 21.6
37. David Greczek (Rutgers / USA.N) 21
38. Ben Willis (Gonzaga / USA.N) 19.8
39. Kyle Renfro (Harrisburg City Islanders / USA.3) 23.5
40. Brendan Moore (Fleetwood Town / England.3) 23.5
41. Zack Downes (Arizona United / USA.3) 22.5
42. Kamil Kaminski (Icon FC / USA.4) 21.9
43. Eric Osswald (Real Monarchs / USA.3) 23.9
44. Austin Aviza (Syracuse / USA.N) 18.7
45. Ricky Brown (Colgate / USA.N) 20.8
46. Kevin Silva (UCLA / USA.N) 17.8
47. Michael Breslin (UC Irvine / USA.N) 21.8
48. Grayson Rector (Belmont / USA.N) 21.2
49. Josh Cohen (OC Blues FC / USA.3) 23.2
50. Bobby Edwards (Saint Joseph's / USA.N) 19.8